forecasting presidential elections since 1912
forecasts
Post Mortem
2024
2022
2020
2016
2012
2008
press
The Hill: 6.5.20
Fox News: 5.29.20
The Hill: 5.5.20
Newsday: 4.17.20
NY Post: 3.28.20 (Linge Op-Ed)
O'Reilly Factor - Talking Points (Video)
USA TODAY 7.29.16
Newsday 7.28.16
HuffPost Blog: 3.7.16
SBU Statesman : 2.26.16
New York Post - 2.26.16
Fox and Friends
Daily Mail UK -2.25.16
The Moderate Voice -
The Blaze - 2.25.16
Althouse - 2.25.26
The Daily Wire - 2.25.16
Syracuse.com - 2.25.16
Daily Caller - 2.23.16
Die Zeit - 8.24.13
Wonk Blog - 8.31.12
Real Clear Politics - 8.14.12
Huffington Post/Pollster - 10.8.12
Real Clear Politics - 8.14.12
Asan Institute - 7.7.12
Huffington Post/Pollster - 9.22.11
New Republic - 11.15.10
Washington Post - 5.19.2008
Huffington Post/Pollster - 1.1.2008
Political Science & Politics - 1.10.2008
MPSA - 4.3.2008
blog
documents
A Perfect Storm (2020)
2016 Forecast Model Full Version
Time for a Change? Forecasting 2008
Comfort for Obama: History is on His Side in 2012
Against All Odds: The Red-Green Victory
contact
author
links
Navigation
forecasts
Post Mortem
2024
2022
2020
2016
2012
2008
press
The Hill: 6.5.20
Fox News: 5.29.20
The Hill: 5.5.20
Newsday: 4.17.20
NY Post: 3.28.20 (Linge Op-Ed)
O'Reilly Factor - Talking Points (Video)
USA TODAY 7.29.16
Newsday 7.28.16
HuffPost Blog: 3.7.16
SBU Statesman : 2.26.16
New York Post - 2.26.16
Fox and Friends
Daily Mail UK -2.25.16
The Moderate Voice -
The Blaze - 2.25.16
Althouse - 2.25.26
The Daily Wire - 2.25.16
Syracuse.com - 2.25.16
Daily Caller - 2.23.16
Die Zeit - 8.24.13
Wonk Blog - 8.31.12
Real Clear Politics - 8.14.12
Huffington Post/Pollster - 10.8.12
Real Clear Politics - 8.14.12
Asan Institute - 7.7.12
Huffington Post/Pollster - 9.22.11
New Republic - 11.15.10
Washington Post - 5.19.2008
Huffington Post/Pollster - 1.1.2008
Political Science & Politics - 1.10.2008
MPSA - 4.3.2008
blog
documents
A Perfect Storm (2020)
2016 Forecast Model Full Version
Time for a Change? Forecasting 2008
Comfort for Obama: History is on His Side in 2012
Against All Odds: The Red-Green Victory
contact
author
links
What Are Trump's Odds to Win Presidency? According to this Statistical Model, VERY Good.
