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But not all." http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Germant monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Chancellor+Model monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Publications monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/German+Chancellor monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/United+States monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Obama monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Government monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Papers monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Forecasting monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Romney monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Elections monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Merkel monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Politics monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Models monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Germany monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/category/Press monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Chancellor+Model monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/united+states monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Elections monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Second+Vot monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/FDP monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/CDU monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/norpoth monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/July monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Zeit monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Die monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/USA monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Helmut monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/CSU monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/helmut monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/helmut+norpoth monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Election monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Norpoth monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Woody+Allen monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Thomas+Gschwend monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Merkel monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/PS+2013 monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/2013 monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/General monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Politics monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Fight monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/Germany monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/blog/tag/German+Elections monthly 0.5 http://primarymodel.com/contact daily 0.75 2020-03-13 http://primarymodel.com/comfort-for-obama-history-is-on-his-side-in-2012 daily 0.75 2013-09-12 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1378948376129-MQPRFFQG1QTLA5EW38Z3/Obama2-e1344834095885.jpeg Comfort for Obama: History is on His Side in 2012 http://primarymodel.com/huffington-postpollster-112008 daily 0.75 2013-09-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1379103744852-8ZUC13DXBMBX8Y1SCXFC/huff-po-screenshot.png Huffington Post/Pollster - 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8.24.13 http://primarymodel.com/gop-struggles-to-campaign-on-medicine-1 daily 0.75 2013-09-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1379266494918-9EXN7RCNYSDNHOMYAXMT/Screen+Shot+2013-09-15+at+1.34.35+PM.png GOP struggles to Campaign on Medicine http://primarymodel.com/norpothfdr daily 0.75 2013-09-16 http://primarymodel.com/btwps15 daily 0.75 2013-09-16 http://primarymodel.com/2016forecast daily 0.75 2013-09-16 http://primarymodel.com/2016 daily 0.75 2016-02-26 http://primarymodel.com/new-page daily 0.75 2016-02-26 http://primarymodel.com/sbustatesman22616 daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456456621806-BWM0P6Q3CFXHCL81KPLU/image-asset.jpeg SBU Statesman : 2.26.16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456456536488-07YGHU03F46KP87UVKQS/image-asset.png SBU Statesman : 2.26.16 http://primarymodel.com/new-york-post daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456457137651-L48S8FM921HNYT7KC31A/image-asset.jpeg New York Post - 2.26.16 http://primarymodel.com/daily-caller- daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456457564403-19YCF88TNDTAI4VE4ORP/image-asset.jpeg Daily Caller - 2.23.16 http://primarymodel.com/the-blaze-22516 daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456457917776-XFI73CYXVW1XQ7Y0LF6L/image-asset.jpeg The Blaze - 2.25.16 http://primarymodel.com/new-page-1 daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456458465745-PHOB9JD2AKFIS4IF8HFP/image-asset.png Althouse - 2.25.26 http://primarymodel.com/daily-mail-uk- daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456458914120-XRFWO53KF6X8VVZW5UGD/image-asset.gif Daily Mail UK -2.25.16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456459145755-ZH2Z4S1S1KMCPLJSKC9D/image-asset.png Daily Mail UK -2.25.16 http://primarymodel.com/syracusecom- daily 0.75 2016-02-26 http://primarymodel.com/the-moderate-voice- daily 0.75 2016-02-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456460293028-N0RXAEKJ88RRHA7VNX58/image-asset.png The Moderate Voice - https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1456460247978-AAQ49OB6HQDJKL76HAZL/image-asset.png The Moderate Voice - http://primarymodel.com/the-daily-wire- daily 0.75 2016-02-27 http://primarymodel.com/new-page-2 daily 0.75 2016-03-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1457470700350-TV04HVP1UUR63TLC81K9/image-asset.png HuffPost Blog: 3.7.16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1457470587429-Y6SYYTZBLRMGM68TVN7Z/image-asset.png HuffPost Blog: 3.7.16 http://primarymodel.com/newsday-72816 daily 0.75 2016-07-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1469830250480-299H1L94NEKPL5RV602R/image-asset.png Newsday 7.28.16 http://primarymodel.com/usa-today-72916 daily 0.75 2016-08-03 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470242080058-0ZFNAUWOWDIBQ764WWTJ/usa+today+7.29.16 USA TODAY 7.29.16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470242133302-8ZAIKH7L66B7J3JI014O/usatoday7.29.16.banner USA TODAY 7.29.16 http://primarymodel.com/oreilly-factor-talking-points-video daily 0.75 2020-04-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470241300741-97HVP97XLDF4MQVEIDD5/O%27ReillyBANNER O'Reilly Factor - Talking Points (Video) http://primarymodel.com/2016-forecast-model-full-version daily 0.75 2016-08-06 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503232836-LUIWGJA2VF50OS2ICZ8B/table4PREDICTIONS 2016 Forecast Model Full Version Table 4. The Prediction Formula of the Primary Model https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502987311-9F3WDC1S3J7K7SOOFWMS/table2recordwhitehousepres.jpg 2016 Forecast Model Full Version Table 2. The Record of the White House Party in Presidential Elections, 1960-2012. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502328799-SLFXUG37C6D82MF3CDX4/TRUMPtrans 2016 Forecast Model Full Version https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503108172-OEX94DLBHWAB40RJ3RGG/figure1THEDEMO 2016 Forecast Model Full Version Figure 1. The Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party Vote in Presidential Elections, 1828-2012. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503162612-G3EHGE51YG69X7F4CVLO/table3theVOTE 2016 Forecast Model Full Version Table 3. The Vote for Presidential Candidates and their Strongest Rivals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina Primaries, 2016. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502723811-UY3V3RHQMF2WQ873YD5V/table1candidatesandrivals 2016 Forecast Model Full Version Table 1. The Vote for Presidential Candidates and their Strongest Rivals in Primaries (1912, 1964, 1980, and 2012). http://primarymodel.com/new-page-3 daily 0.75 2016-08-06 http://primarymodel.com/2016-forecast-full daily 0.75 2020-10-17 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503162612-G3EHGE51YG69X7F4CVLO/table3theVOTE 2016 Table 3. The Vote for Presidential Candidates and their Strongest Rivals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina Primaries, 2016. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502328799-SLFXUG37C6D82MF3CDX4/TRUMPtrans 2016 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503232836-LUIWGJA2VF50OS2ICZ8B/table4PREDICTIONS 2016 Table 4. The Prediction Formula of the Primary Model https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470503108172-OEX94DLBHWAB40RJ3RGG/figure1THEDEMO 2016 Figure 1. The Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party Vote in Presidential Elections, 1828-2012. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502723811-UY3V3RHQMF2WQ873YD5V/table1candidatesandrivals 2016 Table 1. The Vote for Presidential Candidates and their Strongest Rivals in Primaries (1912, 1964, 1980, and 2012). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470502987311-9F3WDC1S3J7K7SOOFWMS/table2recordwhitehousepres.jpg 2016 Table 2. The Record of the White House Party in Presidential Elections, 1960-2012. http://primarymodel.com/2020 daily 0.75 2020-03-13 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1584063601715-BTU9SW6FSUF85MW6JN7H/GRAPHIC_ONE_PM_2020.png 2020 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1584063816587-SEUKOK4LBWZKA5XV8EPW/IMAGE_2_PM_2020.png 2020 http://primarymodel.com/ny-post-2020 daily 0.75 2020-04-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1587234514430-71J1V7U8N9Z9YNZYD50V/New_York_Post_logo_NYP.png NY Post: 3.28.20 (Linge Op-Ed) “How Trump’s war on the coronavirus could win him re-election” http://primarymodel.com/newsday-2020 daily 0.75 2020-04-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1587233700814-7D4Y84D6W347LQPAZG6J/Screenshot+2020-04-18+14.11.34.png Newsday: 4.17.20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1587233721066-91O1958NPEZRORU55GWO/image.jpg Newsday: 4.17.20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1587234010299-P02ACOJRWF7QWY0U1YK1/Newsday.svg-768x116.jpg Newsday: 4.17.20 http://primarymodel.com/the-hill-5520 daily 0.75 2020-05-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1588874412152-6LA5J11E92GF5YXPOD90/Screenshot+2020-05-07+13.47.57.png The Hill: 5.5.20 http://primarymodel.com/new-page-4 daily 0.75 2020-06-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1591650234717-YDF8AUO52GW5IRY38KR3/The_Hill_Logo-700x700.png The Hill: 6.5.20 - “ Joe Biden lead in polls does not ensure final victory for election” The Hill Op-Ed June 6th, 2020 link to article here http://primarymodel.com/fox-news-52920 daily 0.75 2020-06-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1591650554578-X6ZJCHN8U9GBJ8GHB97I/1024px-Fox_News_Channel_logo.png Fox News: 5.29.20 - “Professor who predicted Trump's 2016 win explains why he thinks Trump will win again” Fox News Flash May 29th, 2020 link here http://primarymodel.com/2020-1 daily 0.75 2020-10-17 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1602947393880-3F1E1QZDOYSVQEWSFXLQ/VOTE_2020_PS_TABLE_1.png 2020 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1602948814322-TA4CKP35QP3FR3N782UF/FIG_1_VOTE_2020_PM.png 2020 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1602948286229-DU82802QO8HZS45WND4J/TABLE_2_VOTE_2020.png 2020 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1602948394740-I6ZR27MXTPWNJOV62B7S/TABLE_3_VOTE_2020.png 2020 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1602948647244-QLKNFWHSP8F1O00MQFVH/TABLE_4_VOTE_2020_FINAL.jpg 2020 http://primarymodel.com/home-copy daily 0.75 2022-07-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1607025929634-DT7K0HKMVFKGCG7PUPH4/PM_POST_FIGURE_1.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941894229-X9ZEVC1NK3IO6B2QWBV7/Approval_FIG_7.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941720736-IJZ1KOUT9PP3YAQQOFOJ/Vote_TYPE_FIG_6.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941394414-YICWNXLEN7RVTKFIV1WF/FIGURE_2_POST_ELECTION_2020_fixed.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941638925-C61ZJI33JAXVUANNFPST/Racism_Policing_FIG_5.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941476569-HMIPU3LFN5UAHQPKNPAJ/Coronavirus_control_PM_POST_FIG_3.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1606941532627-QBZLD5SP1JQP3HUW1NMH/Condition_NAT_economy_PM_FIG_4.png A Perfect Storm (2020) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470500700727-BE1NEHUZ6II49REVY7NA/primarymodelLOGOblack.jpg A Perfect Storm (2020) http://primarymodel.com/home-copy-1 daily 0.75 2022-08-17 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/069548c7-cb25-4b2f-9e7c-6ba688c4fdca/2022_House_Chart_One.png home INITIAL midterm prediction - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/6e207937-6dd7-4447-8a1b-bc68febdfba6/2022_House_Chart_2.png home INITIAL midterm prediction https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470500700727-BE1NEHUZ6II49REVY7NA/primarymodelLOGOblack.jpg home INITIAL midterm prediction http://primarymodel.com/the-model-2020-1 daily 0.75 2022-08-17 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/6e207937-6dd7-4447-8a1b-bc68febdfba6/2022_House_Chart_2.png 2022 EARLY https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/069548c7-cb25-4b2f-9e7c-6ba688c4fdca/2022_House_Chart_One.png 2022 EARLY - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. http://primarymodel.com/home-initial-midterm-prediction-copy daily 0.75 2022-10-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/10790a2a-1e2e-4dad-9a98-668a5460576d/2022_MIDTERM_FINAL_G1.png home - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470500700727-BE1NEHUZ6II49REVY7NA/primarymodelLOGOblack.jpg home http://primarymodel.com/the-model-2020-2 daily 0.75 2022-10-28 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/fa99138a-9089-4bb0-9676-a4d14a376f3c/PM_8.18.22_CHART_2.png home MAIL BALLOTS BIDEN FALL 2022 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/4589ee48-de54-4bff-9c43-d1abb380c98c/PM_8.18.22_CHART_1.png home MAIL BALLOTS BIDEN FALL 2022 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/1470500700727-BE1NEHUZ6II49REVY7NA/primarymodelLOGOblack.jpg home MAIL BALLOTS BIDEN FALL 2022 http://primarymodel.com/2022-final daily 0.75 2022-10-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/522ead72e4b0a584ece4eab9/10790a2a-1e2e-4dad-9a98-668a5460576d/2022_MIDTERM_FINAL_G1.png 2022 - 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